2 thoughts on “How to judge the position of the dealer?”
Kelvin
Since it is looking for a dealer, it is a small market value stock. The large market value does not have the dealer 1. First of all, check out how much the circulating stock is 2, calculate the shareholding of the top ten circulating shareholders 3, the dealer holds the stock = the shareholding of the dealer = 1-2, this is the upper limit of the dealer. It is usually 50 % off on this basis. It is recommended to look at the monthly turnover rate, the last high -level volume change, and comprehensively judge.
Several calculations of the cost of building a position of the dealer I due to the cost of most of them, we cannot calculate, we can only explore the cost of the dealer's warehouse (1) The average price calculation n The dealer If you collect chips through long -term low sideways, the average value of the highest price and the lowest price at the bottom range is the general cost price of the dealer's chips. In addition, the round bottom and the incubation bottom can also be used to calculate the cost of holding the position. If the dealer has a higher suction plan, the cost will be higher. Generally speaking, the mid -line dealer built the position of about 40-60 days, that is, 8-12 weeks, and the average value of 10 weeks, then from the weekly K -line diagram, we can objectively think that the 10 -week average price line can be objectively considered to think that This algorithm of the main force area has a certain error, but it will not be deviated by 10 %. As a dealer, the stock of its trading rose at least 50 % or more, most of which were 100 %.一般而言，一个股票从一波行情的最低点到最高点的升幅若为100％，则庄家的正常利润是40％，我们把主力的成本算出以后，然后在这价位上乘以150％，即For the dealer's minimum target, no matter how twists and turns the road is, the stock price will reach this price sooner or later. If the country is not allowed to leave the market, the dealer will never leave the market. (2) Statistical transition rate calculation For old stocks, when there is a obvious outsolation area volume, it can be used as a cost area of the dealer's position. The specific calculation method is to calculate the daily turnover rate. Until the statistics until the turnover rate reaches 100 %, at this time the average market price is the cost area of the dealer's position. For new shares, many dealers choose to involve a lot on the first day of listing. Generally, the average price of the first day of listing or the average price of the first week of listing can be used as the dealer's cost area. (3) The minimum price calculation The average price of the transaction -intensive area above the minimum price is the approximate cost of the dealer's warehouse, which is usually about 15 % to 30 % of the minimum price. (4) The calculation of stock price is based on the lowest price, low prices at the lowest price of about 0.5 ~ 1.5 yuan, medium -priced shares at the lowest price of about 1.5 ~ 3.0 yuan, high -priced stocks at the lowest price at the lowest price About 3.0 ~ 6.0 yuan above. (5) Use SSL indicators to calculate. The SSL indicator is to display the transaction intensive area and support level, and pressure level of the stock price. The price of the huge transaction volume near the average price in the transaction dense area is the cost of building the dealer. (6) The cost of positioning of the dealer's position = (the lowest price the highest price the most common intermediate weekly closing price) ÷ 3. As a dealer, the rising stock of its control disk should be at least 50%, most of which are 100%. Generally speaking, if a stock's lowest price to the highest price increases from 100 %, the normal profit of the dealer is 40 %. (7) The calculation of new and old shares ① After the new shares are listed, the operation of the stock price has been maintained. More than 100 %, in this case, the average price of the stock is roughly close to the cost of the dealer. ② new shares with a turnover rate of more than 60 % on the day of listing, and the dealer's cost line is near the opening price of the first day of the listing and the average of the closing price. This is because on the day of the listing of new shares, a large number of professional households in the first -level market are sold in large quantities. At this time, it is the best time to collect chips. The dealers who are optimistic about the stock often enter the market. Therefore, once the first day of listing exceeds 60 %, the average price of the day must be the cost price of the dealer's purchase. Especially at the time of weakness, some Chinese -large -cap stocks or industry attributes are generally not optimistic about retail investors. The listing is low and low, and the dealer just takes the opportunity to absorb a lot. Once the dealer's collection process is completed, the lifting range in the future is often 2 to 3 times, or even 4 to 5 times of the average closing price and opening price of the first day. As long as retail investors are purchased in this area and can cover it for 3 months or even half a year, they often have amazing profits. ③ The new stock with less than 50 % on the first day of listing, the cost of the dealer is generally between the 60 -day moving average and the 120 -day moving average. Most dealers collected chips cannot be concentrated in one day. If they fail to get foot chips on the first day of listing, the dealer needs a certain time to absorb. For most new stocks just listed, if the dealer immediately increases the suction, the cost often costs higher, and it needs to be absorbed slowly. According to my observation, most dealers generally collect chips for 2 to 4 months or even longer. After the collection is collected, they choose to lift the opportunity when the market is moderately active and launch a wave of markets. Therefore, the price between the 60 -day moving average and the 120 -day moving average is often the cost area of the dealer. A retail investor is involved in this area, and the victory is greater. ④ The cost of the dealer of the unpopular old stocks is repeatedly lifted at the bottom, the highest price and the lowest price of the minimum price of the box shaped. Some stocks have sufficient air conditioning, and the stock price has fallen deeply and no one cares. At this time, some dealers just came to collect the tattered and then exhibited gold. But it is not easy to coax the cheap chips in the hands of retail investors. The only way is to repeatedly lift and suppress. At this time, the stock price K -line diagram and transaction volume characteristics are: after the K -line small yin and small yang or lianyin line accompanied by atrophy trading volume, one or two Dayang lines suddenly accompanied the volume of the transaction volume. Then, the amount of shrinking trading and continuous shade lines or Xiaoyin and Xiaoyang were repeated. The dealer's cost is near the top of the box and the bottom of the box. The retail investor is buying an ambush at the bottom of the box or the middle of the box. Once the dealer's chips have been collected, they will be attacked, and the increase is considerable. ⑤ The cost of slow bull stock dealer is usually in the golden channel between the 10 -day moving average and the 30 -day moving average. Some potential stocks in the rising industry, the main agencies have been stationed for a long time because they are optimistic about the fundamentals of the stock and operate patiently. As long as the fund's fundamentals do not change significantly, the dealer will not go out. Its trend is characterized by the stock price relying on the 10 -day moving average, the 30 -day moving average fluctuating upward, slowly rising, the dealer's technique is not slow or tepid, the stock price is too far away from the 5 -day moving average, and the technical sorting for a few days. The daily support line goes up, and then touches the 5th line again. The transaction volume is neither too large nor shrinking too small, always maintaining a more moderate level. The cost area of this slow bull stock market is between the 10 -day moving average and the 30 -day moving average. The probability of making money in this area has a great probability.
Since it is looking for a dealer, it is a small market value stock. The large market value does not have the dealer
1. First of all, check out how much the circulating stock is
2, calculate the shareholding of the top ten circulating shareholders
3, the dealer holds the stock = the shareholding of the dealer = 1-2, this is the upper limit of the dealer. It is usually 50 % off on this basis. It is recommended to look at the monthly turnover rate, the last high -level volume change, and comprehensively judge.
Several calculations of the cost of building a position of the dealer
I due to the cost of most of them, we cannot calculate, we can only explore the cost of the dealer's warehouse
(1) The average price calculation n The dealer If you collect chips through long -term low sideways, the average value of the highest price and the lowest price at the bottom range is the general cost price of the dealer's chips. In addition, the round bottom and the incubation bottom can also be used to calculate the cost of holding the position. If the dealer has a higher suction plan, the cost will be higher.
Generally speaking, the mid -line dealer built the position of about 40-60 days, that is, 8-12 weeks, and the average value of 10 weeks, then from the weekly K -line diagram, we can objectively think that the 10 -week average price line can be objectively considered to think that This algorithm of the main force area has a certain error, but it will not be deviated by 10 %. As a dealer, the stock of its trading rose at least 50 % or more, most of which were 100 %.一般而言，一个股票从一波行情的最低点到最高点的升幅若为100％，则庄家的正常利润是40％，我们把主力的成本算出以后，然后在这价位上乘以150％，即For the dealer's minimum target, no matter how twists and turns the road is, the stock price will reach this price sooner or later. If the country is not allowed to leave the market, the dealer will never leave the market.
(2) Statistical transition rate calculation
For old stocks, when there is a obvious outsolation area volume, it can be used as a cost area of the dealer's position. The specific calculation method is to calculate the daily turnover rate. Until the statistics until the turnover rate reaches 100 %, at this time the average market price is the cost area of the dealer's position. For new shares, many dealers choose to involve a lot on the first day of listing. Generally, the average price of the first day of listing or the average price of the first week of listing can be used as the dealer's cost area.
(3) The minimum price calculation
The average price of the transaction -intensive area above the minimum price is the approximate cost of the dealer's warehouse, which is usually about 15 % to 30 % of the minimum price.
(4) The calculation of stock price
is based on the lowest price, low prices at the lowest price of about 0.5 ~ 1.5 yuan, medium -priced shares at the lowest price of about 1.5 ~ 3.0 yuan, high -priced stocks at the lowest price at the lowest price About 3.0 ~ 6.0 yuan above.
(5) Use SSL indicators to calculate. The SSL indicator is to display the transaction intensive area and support level, and pressure level of the stock price. The price of the huge transaction volume near the average price in the transaction dense area is the cost of building the dealer.
(6) The cost of positioning of the dealer's position = (the lowest price the highest price the most common intermediate weekly closing price) ÷ 3. As a dealer, the rising stock of its control disk should be at least 50%, most of which are 100%. Generally speaking, if a stock's lowest price to the highest price increases from 100 %, the normal profit of the dealer is 40 %.
(7) The calculation of new and old shares
① After the new shares are listed, the operation of the stock price has been maintained. More than 100 %, in this case, the average price of the stock is roughly close to the cost of the dealer.
② new shares with a turnover rate of more than 60 % on the day of listing, and the dealer's cost line is near the opening price of the first day of the listing and the average of the closing price. This is because on the day of the listing of new shares, a large number of professional households in the first -level market are sold in large quantities. At this time, it is the best time to collect chips. The dealers who are optimistic about the stock often enter the market. Therefore, once the first day of listing exceeds 60 %, the average price of the day must be the cost price of the dealer's purchase. Especially at the time of weakness, some Chinese -large -cap stocks or industry attributes are generally not optimistic about retail investors. The listing is low and low, and the dealer just takes the opportunity to absorb a lot. Once the dealer's collection process is completed, the lifting range in the future is often 2 to 3 times, or even 4 to 5 times of the average closing price and opening price of the first day. As long as retail investors are purchased in this area and can cover it for 3 months or even half a year, they often have amazing profits.
③ The new stock with less than 50 % on the first day of listing, the cost of the dealer is generally between the 60 -day moving average and the 120 -day moving average. Most dealers collected chips cannot be concentrated in one day. If they fail to get foot chips on the first day of listing, the dealer needs a certain time to absorb. For most new stocks just listed, if the dealer immediately increases the suction, the cost often costs higher, and it needs to be absorbed slowly. According to my observation, most dealers generally collect chips for 2 to 4 months or even longer. After the collection is collected, they choose to lift the opportunity when the market is moderately active and launch a wave of markets. Therefore, the price between the 60 -day moving average and the 120 -day moving average is often the cost area of the dealer. A retail investor is involved in this area, and the victory is greater.
④ The cost of the dealer of the unpopular old stocks is repeatedly lifted at the bottom, the highest price and the lowest price of the minimum price of the box shaped. Some stocks have sufficient air conditioning, and the stock price has fallen deeply and no one cares. At this time, some dealers just came to collect the tattered and then exhibited gold. But it is not easy to coax the cheap chips in the hands of retail investors. The only way is to repeatedly lift and suppress. At this time, the stock price K -line diagram and transaction volume characteristics are: after the K -line small yin and small yang or lianyin line accompanied by atrophy trading volume, one or two Dayang lines suddenly accompanied the volume of the transaction volume. Then, the amount of shrinking trading and continuous shade lines or Xiaoyin and Xiaoyang were repeated. The dealer's cost is near the top of the box and the bottom of the box. The retail investor is buying an ambush at the bottom of the box or the middle of the box. Once the dealer's chips have been collected, they will be attacked, and the increase is considerable.
⑤ The cost of slow bull stock dealer is usually in the golden channel between the 10 -day moving average and the 30 -day moving average. Some potential stocks in the rising industry, the main agencies have been stationed for a long time because they are optimistic about the fundamentals of the stock and operate patiently. As long as the fund's fundamentals do not change significantly, the dealer will not go out. Its trend is characterized by the stock price relying on the 10 -day moving average, the 30 -day moving average fluctuating upward, slowly rising, the dealer's technique is not slow or tepid, the stock price is too far away from the 5 -day moving average, and the technical sorting for a few days. The daily support line goes up, and then touches the 5th line again. The transaction volume is neither too large nor shrinking too small, always maintaining a more moderate level. The cost area of this slow bull stock market is between the 10 -day moving average and the 30 -day moving average. The probability of making money in this area has a great probability.